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    Hotels, Resorts & Travel · capability model · direct demand

    Capability ModelA modelled capability, not a client account. Figures illustrate what the model produces and are labelled as modelled wherever they appear.

    Travel has one of the highest paid-search click-through rates and no standard direct-booking benchmark

    Travel attracts attention more cheaply than almost any category in the published search benchmark set and converts it at a middling rate. Meanwhile the single number that would settle the direct-versus-intermediated argument — what a brand's own booking engine actually converts at — is not published anywhere. This model instruments that gap first and buys media second.

    9.32%

    Click-through rate, travel

    Modelled figure — not a client result

    5.83%

    Conversion rate, travel

    Modelled figure — not a client result

    $44.70

    Cost per lead, travel

    Modelled figure — not a client result

    63%

    Hotels' share of online travel agency gross bookings

    Modelled figure — not a client result

    63.1%

    US hotel occupancy, 2026 forecast

    Modelled figure — not a client result

    Modelled. Inputs: WordStream by LocaliQ, Google Ads Benchmarks 2026 (13,474 US search campaigns, April 2025 – March 2026); Phocuswright, US Online Travel Agency Market Essentials 2026; Cloudbeds, Guide to OTA Commission Rates (updated August 2026); CoStar / Tourism Economics US hotel forecast, August 2026. Modelled outputs are not a forecast or a guarantee of results. Cited: LocaliQ *2026 Search Benchmarks*; Book Better Direct / SiteMinder 2026.

    At a glance

    The engagement in brief

    Services

    • Paid Search
    • Landing Pages
    • CRO
    • Booking Intake
    • Reporting
    • Content

    Stack

    • Google Ads
    • Metasearch
    • Booking engine
    • Analytics
    • Call tracking
    • Channel reporting

    The situation

    What we walked into

    Travel runs a 9.32% click-through rate at $2.14 a click, among the highest attention rates of any industry in the published search set, and converts at 5.83% for a $44.70 cost per lead. Underneath that, online travel agencies took roughly a fifth of all US travel gross bookings in 2025 and are projected to reach 21% by 2028, with hotels making up 63% of agency gross bookings at $100.3B. The forecast for 2026 has record room-nights sold in the first half, 11.4 million more than 2025, room revenue up $5.4B and gross operating profit per available room up 4%, against a 63.1% occupancy forecast.

    Record volume, 63.1% occupancy, and no published figure for what a hotel's own booking engine converts at.

    What we found

    The diagnosis

    1. 01

      The commission range is the real cost per acquisition and almost nobody prices it that way

      Published guidance puts commissions at roughly 15% to 30% and above today, up from about 10% a decade ago, with some niche and regional agencies as low as 4%. That guidance is vendor-published and discloses no sample, so it is a planning range and not a measurement. Even at the bottom of it, intermediation is the largest single acquisition line in the business and it appears in no media report anywhere.

    2. 02

      The number that would settle the argument is not published

      There is no verified published direct-booking conversion rate for hotels, no published hotel metasearch cost per click, and no current verified average daily rate or revenue per available room dollar figure in this set. Which means every claim that direct is cheaper — including the ones made by direct-booking vendors — is an assertion without a denominator. It is also entirely measurable on a single property's own data inside a week, which is why naming the gap is more useful than filling it with somebody's estimate.

    3. 03

      Intermediation is a trend line, not a fixed cost

      A fifth of gross bookings in 2025, projected to 21% by 2028. A plan sized against today's channel mix underestimates the drift, and the properties that notice late are the ones that negotiated their commission rate once and filed it.

    4. 04

      Record volume and 63.1% occupancy are the same story told twice

      Room-nights sold are forecast at a record while occupancy sits in the low sixties, which means supply and demand are both growing and neither is the binding constraint. Mix and rate are. That reorders the marketing brief: the useful question is which segment fills which week, not how to generate more undifferentiated demand.

    5. 05

      A 9.32% click-through rate is a warning as much as a strength

      Travel intent is broad, emotive and cheap to attract. The 5.83% conversion rate and $44.70 cost per lead say the qualification is happening after the click rather than before it. The model moves dates, party size and flexibility ahead of the enquiry rather than after it, which lowers the click-through rate on purpose.

    The number behind it

    What this is built around

    Travel paid-search CTR **~9.3%** (among the highest of 23 industries) at ~5.8% conversion. No *cross-industry* booking-engine benchmark exists; hotel-tech sources put direct-site conversion at **~2–4%** vs OTA **12–15%**.

    What we built

    The system

    The model instruments distribution before it touches media. Phase one builds the channel-by-channel net rate view: what a booking costs through each path once commission, media, incentive and booking-engine cost are included, which almost never exists in one place. Phase two measures the property's own booking-engine conversion rate by device and by market, because that figure is unpublished and every direct-booking decision depends on it. Phase three fixes the booking path itself, on the basis that a booking engine on a phone is where most of the loss occurs. Media comes last and is bought against segment and week rather than against generic destination demand.

    Travel has one of the highest paid-search click-through rates and no standard direct-booking benchmark — funnelA funnel of 8 stages, narrowing from "Travel intent" to "Repeat direct".Travel intentSearch and metasearchAgency listingBrand siteBooking engineBooking confirmedNet rate after channel costRepeat direct

    The sequence

    How it was delivered

    1. Weeks 1–3

      Channel net-rate view

      Cost of a booking through each path, including commission, media, incentive and engine cost

      Owner: OmniFlow + property commercial

    2. Weeks 2–4

      Booking-engine baseline

      Direct-booking conversion rate measured by device and market — the figure the published set does not contain

      Owner: OmniFlow

    3. Weeks 4–9

      Booking path work

      Mobile booking path, rate presentation, cancellation clarity, parity with the listing offer

      Owner: OmniFlow

    4. Weeks 8–16

      Media by segment and week

      Search and metasearch bought against the weeks and segments that need filling, not against destination demand

      Owner: OmniFlow

    5. Month 6

      Review

      Net rate per channel, direct-booking conversion by device, cost per confirmed room night

      Owner: OmniFlow

    Outcome

    What the model produces

    The model reports cost per confirmed room night by channel, net of commission, and the property's own direct-booking conversion rate by device. The second of those does not exist as a published benchmark anywhere, which is exactly why it is the first thing built: without it, the direct-versus-intermediated decision is being made on the strength of vendor assertion. Commission ranges are used as a planning band and labelled vendor-published throughout, and no average daily rate or revenue per available room figure is modelled because none is verified in this set.

    Modelled. Inputs: WordStream by LocaliQ, Google Ads Benchmarks 2026 (13,474 US search campaigns, April 2025 – March 2026); Phocuswright, US Online Travel Agency Market Essentials 2026; Cloudbeds, Guide to OTA Commission Rates (updated August 2026); CoStar / Tourism Economics US hotel forecast, August 2026. Modelled outputs are not a forecast or a guarantee of results. Cited: LocaliQ *2026 Search Benchmarks*; Book Better Direct / SiteMinder 2026.

    Inputs

    What the model is built on

    Every figure below is published research, not a client result. They are the inputs to the arithmetic above, listed so it can be checked rather than taken on trust. The bracketed number points to the full citation at the end of this page.

    9.32%

    [1]

    Click-through rate, travel

    April 2025 – March 2026

    5.83%

    [1]

    Conversion rate, travel

    April 2025 – March 2026

    $44.70

    [1]

    Cost per lead, travel

    April 2025 – March 2026

    63%

    [3]

    Hotels' share of online travel agency gross bookings

    US, 2025 ($100.3B)

    63.1%

    [2]

    US hotel occupancy, 2026 forecast

    full-year 2026 forecast, August 2026

    The published figures, side by side

    Rates share a 0–100% scale. Costs and counts are scaled against the largest value shown.

    • Click-through rate, travel[1]9.32%

      April 2025 – March 2026

    • Conversion rate, travel[1]5.83%

      April 2025 – March 2026

    • Cost per lead, travel[1]$44.70

      April 2025 – March 2026

    • Hotels' share of online travel agency gross bookings[3]63%

      US, 2025 ($100.3B)

    • US hotel occupancy, 2026 forecast[2]63.1%

      full-year 2026 forecast, August 2026

    Run the model on your own numbers

    Change the volume and the target rate. Everything else is held at the published benchmark above, so the output is arithmetic you can check rather than a claim.

    Fixed inputs, from the research cited on this page:

    $45Cost per lead, travel[1]

    6% — Conversion rate, travel[1]

    Media spend, unchanged

    $1,341

    People actually reached today

    2

    Reached after the fix

    9

    Gained on the same spend

    +8

    Cost per person actually reached falls from $767 to $144 — on identical media spend. The lead number does not move; the number of them you speak to does.

    Arithmetic on the published inputs above. It describes what the model produces at those rates, not a forecast of any particular firm's result.

    Reporting

    What you would actually see

    These are the surfaces this engagement is run and measured from, shown with representative figures built around the benchmarks cited on this page. Every account we run reports into views like these, and you keep ownership of all of them.

    These are demo dashboards. They show the reporting surfaces this engagement is run and measured from, with representative figures generated around the published benchmarks cited on this page — not a client account and not a client result. Live reporting for your own account replaces every number here.

    Google Analytics 4

    Hotels, Resorts & Travel · all web data

    Demo
    Acquisition overview
    Last 12 months vs. preceding period

    Sessions

    3,881

    +68.4%

    Key events

    226

    +85.5%

    Session key event rate

    5.8%

    +1.6%

    Engagement rate

    66.1%

    +6.5%

    Sessions by month

    AprJunAugOctDecFeb

    Dashed line marks the month the engagement started.

    Session default channel groupSessionsKey eventsRate
    Organic Search1,621976.0%
    Paid Search886707.9%
    Direct640548.4%
    Referral454357.7%
    Organic Social281196.8%

    CRM pipeline

    Hotels, Resorts & Travel · inbound and outbound

    Demo
    Pipeline by source
    Last 12 months

    Leads created

    65

    +76.2%

    Qualified

    33

    +87.6%

    Meetings booked

    14

    +91.4%

    Answered on first attempt

    78.1%

    +11.0%

    Leads created by month

    AprJunAugOctDecFeb

    Dashed line marks the month the engagement started.

    First-touch sourceLeadsQualifiedMeetings
    Google Ads — high intent20105
    Organic search1894
    Business Profile — call1263
    LinkedIn outbound952
    Referral631

    Method

    How this is measured

    Each figure on this page, the system it is read from, and the definition and window it is measured over.

    Every figure on this page, the system it is read from, and how it is defined
    FigureRead fromHow it is definedStatus
    Click-through rate, travelpublished benchmarkApril 2025 – March 2026Published
    Conversion rate, travelpublished benchmarkApril 2025 – March 2026Published
    Cost per lead, travelpublished benchmarkApril 2025 – March 2026Published
    Hotels' share of online travel agency gross bookingspublished benchmarkUS, 2025 ($100.3B)Published
    US hotel occupancy, 2026 forecastpublished forecastfull-year 2026 forecast, August 2026Published

    Honestly

    What we would do differently

    Not applicable — this is a modelled engagement. Its weakest input is the commission range, which comes from a vendor guide with no disclosed sample and covers a spread wide enough — 4% to above 30% — that the choice of point inside it changes the answer entirely. The search benchmark is firmer but pools hotels with agencies, tour operators and transport, whose funnels have almost nothing in common. Both are replaced by the property's own contracted rates and its own engine data in the first month, which is also why that work is phase one rather than phase three.

    Evidence base

    1 sources, 1 publishers

    Full citations for everything cited on this page, with the sample and period each study covers, so you can go and read the original.

    Published research

    1. [1]

      WordStream by LocaliQ, Google Ads Benchmarks 2026

      13,474 US search campaigns, April 2025 – March 2026

      Supports: Click-through rate, travel · Conversion rate, travel · Cost per lead, travel

    Read from a live system

    1. [2]

      CoStar / Tourism Economics US hotel forecast, August 2026

      Supports: US hotel occupancy, 2026 forecast

    2. [3]

      Phocuswright, US Online Travel Agency Market Essentials 2026

      Supports: Hotels' share of online travel agency gross bookings

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